retentiongame

Digital marketing isn’t just for selling products—it’s reshaping democracy.

I took a purely data-driven look at how Portuguese political parties invested in Meta (Facebook & Instagram) ads during the last election cycle and compared it to their parliamentary success. Data was sourced from Meta’s Ad Library and official election results.

The results? Eye-opening. They reveal how much elections are shaped—not just by policies or debates—but by who pays to be seen.

👉 Explore the full dashboard & methodology: 💵 Follow the Money: Political Ad Spending

5 Political marketing insights for the next elections

1️⃣ The Price of Entry: At Least €11K or Don’t Bother

If you’re a new party, don’t even think about running unless you have at least €11,118 to burn, like Chega (CH) did. That seems to be the minimum buy-in for relevance.

2️⃣ Spray & Pray with Micro-Targeting 🎯

Forget big-budget ads; the real pros scatter their money like breadcrumbs. Chega (CH) ran 60 small-budget campaigns, proving that micro-targeting is king. Meanwhile, Liberal Initiative (IL) tried the same but burned €2,892 per seat- so, you know, targeting has to be good.

3️⃣ Spending ≠ Winning, But It Helps

Want to see money disappear? Liberal Initiative (IL) spent €23K… for 8 seats. Painful..

Want to make it count? Spend €16K like the Democratic Alliance (AD) and win 80 seats. Moral of the story: Money alone won’t save you. Money + actual voters might.

4️⃣ Want a Strong ROI? Steal Democratic Alliance’s Playbook

These guys spent less than IL but got 10 times as many seats. Either their voters were already on board, or they cracked the Facebook algorithm. Either way, they’re the efficiency kings.

5️⃣ Grassroots Is Cute, But Digital Wins Votes

Door-knocking might have worked before, but let’s be real—Facebook does the heavy lifting. Unless you’re CDU, PAN, or Livre, in which case, keep fighting the good fight with wholesome, offline campaigns while the big players flood the feed.

The Dangerous Power of Political Marketing

I’m not a political expert, and I don’t claim to understand the full complexities of the Portuguese political landscape. This analysis is purely data-driven, aiming to measure the effectiveness and potential dangers of digital marketing in elections.

This analysis isn’t about endorsing anyone but understanding how ads influence democracy. Digital spending alone doesn’t win elections, but it sure tilts the playing field.

I welcome all feedback, critiques, and collaborative insights to help better sense this data. Politics is messy, marketing is powerful, and both intersections are worth examining, with caution. 🚨

#Portugal #Politics #DigitalMarketing #ElectionInsights #MetaAds